Athletic Bilbao will be desperate to clinch their spot in the Champions League knockout stages when they face Sporting CP in the last round of the league phase. As Athletic want this win more than Sporting, our prediction leans toward 2-1 home win. The Lions did well to beat Atalanta 3-2 in their last league game, with the team keeping their playoffs hopes alive. Athletic have been struggling at home of late, scoring just 0.50 goals per game, but they are boosted by Nico Williams’ return to the starting XI. Midfielder Mikel Jauregizar serves a one-game ban, but should not be sorely missed.
The Lisbon Lions, on the other hand, are on a three-game winning run in all competitions, with the team scoring 2.70 goals per game. However, the Portuguese champions have failed to keep a clean sheet in the previous eight away games in all competitions, which is probably the main reason why away win should not be considered. All Ioannidis, Quaresma, Quenda, and Santos are all out of contention with injuries for the visiting side.
As Sporting have already booked their place in the playoffs, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Nico Williams to Score or Assist and Over 2.5 goals.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 28 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Sporting
Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ 140 Odds
- To be booked: Maximiliano Araujo @ 150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Athletic Bilbao +0.5 @ -191 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwl | 1.10 |
| Home | dl | 0.50 |
| Away | lwlwl | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 38% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 1.50 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 63% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 13% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.70 | 1.49 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.47 | 1.33 |
Sporting Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwww | 2.20 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | lwwdw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.79 | 2.08 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.27 | 1.87 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (33%)
3 Matches
Sporting (67%)
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