Metropolitano Stadium will be the centre of attention as Atletico Madrid host Barcelona in a blockbuster Champions League quarter-final second leg, holding a 2-0 advantage from the first meeting at Camp Nou. As Barcelona were unlucky not to grab something from the first leg, we predict a 2-1 away win this time out. Atletico have been strong at home (75% win rate, 2.50 goals scored per game), but concede 1.50 on average. Diego Simeone rotated heavily in the weekend loss to Sevilla, ensuring fresh legs for the decider, though Marc Pubill is suspended.
Barcelona, meanwhile, are without Pau Cubarsi and injured winger Raphinha, but arrive in outstanding form. Hansi Flick's men boast 80% wins in their last 10, scoring 2.80 goals per match while conceding just 1.00. The visitors also carry a 2.50 points-per-game rate and strong away numbers (2.33 PPG), suggesting they have the firepower to respond despite the deficit.
Barca's superior form and attacking quality make them favourites to take the second leg. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Away Win, alongside Barca Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (both sides average high goal totals and need an open game scenario).
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 1 - 2 Barcelona
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ferran Torres @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ferran Torres @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Jorge Koke @ 140 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Barcelona -0.5 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 200 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Barcelona to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Barcelona to Win/Barcelona to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Barcelona - No @ -450 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
You can place your bets on Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwwlllwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Away | wlllwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 4.00 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.64 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.75 | 1.37 | 1.99 |
Barcelona Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdwwwwlw | 2.50 |
| Home | wwwwwlw | 2.57 |
| Away | wdw | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 86% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 4.57 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 3.43 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 57% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.89 | 2.10 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.96 | 0.89 | 1.12 |
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (19%)
52 Matches
Barcelona (58%)
