Atletico Madrid head into the final round of the Champions League league phase with a top-eight place within reach. As Bodo are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 3-1 home win. Diego Simeone’s side look well positioned despite the absence of key forward Antoine Griezmann, with the team beating Mallorca 3-0 at the weekend. Even without their talisman, Atletico’s numbers at home remain formidable: they collect 2.25 points per game, winning 75% of their matches while conceding just 0.75 goals on average. Their expected goals at the Metropolitano (2.09) shows how consistently they create chances, while the defence limits opponents to 0.95 xGA. Atletico have also scored in every game this season, underlining their reliability in the final third.
Bodo/Glimt still have plenty at stake, targeting a place in the top 24 and a playoff berth. The Norwegian champions travel to Madridd with only one absentee, midfielder Sondre Fet, and they continue to produce entertaining football. Their matches average an impressive 3.9 goals, with BTTS landing in 70% of their fixtures. Away from home, they score 1.75 goals on average but concede the same number, showing vulnerability against stronger sides.
Atletico’s defensive stability and superior consistency should tilt this crucial clash in their favour. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip for this matchup, alongside Atletico Over 1.5 goals and Atletico -1.5
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 28 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Bodo Glimt prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Bodo Glimt
Atletico Madrid vs Bodo Glimt Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ -250 Odds
- To be booked: Jostein Gundersen @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid -1.5 @ -160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdw | 2.30 |
| Home | wlww | 2.25 |
| Away | wwdwd | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.79 | 2.09 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 0.95 | 1.39 |
Bodo Glimt Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwdw | 1.90 |
| Home | lwlww | 2.00 |
| Away | wlwd | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 4.17 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 3.17 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.85 | 2.09 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.25 | 1.76 |
Atletico Madrid vs Bodo Glimt Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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