Atletico Madrid play host to Tottenham at their Wanda Metropolitano in the Champions League last 16, first leg. Atletico are a real force to be reckoned with at home and given Spurs’ recent struggles, we predict a 3-1 home win. Los Rojiblancos are brimming with confidence following a 3-2 win over Real Sociedad and we predict that they will stick to their attacking style of play. As Diego Simeone’s men have been scoring 3.00 goals per home game, Atletico Over 1.5 goals bet should be considered. Midfielder Pablo Barrios remains doubtful, but there are no fresh injury worries in the home team.
Igor Tudor’s men, on the other hand, are on a five-game losing run in all competitions, with obvious difficulties at the back. As Tottenham have been conceding 1.90 goals per game of late, we do not believe that they are capable of spoiling Atletico’s party in Madrid. Adding to their woes, all Betancur, Bergvall, Kudus, Davies, Kulusevski, Madddison, Odobert, and Udogie miss the first leg with injuries.
Given Atletico’s better form and home advantage, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals market seems interesting as Tottenham have been struggling defensively in recent weeks.
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Tottenham
Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 240 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 350 Odds
- To be Booked: Malachi Hardy @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid -0.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +1 @ -600 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ -450 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid to Win/Atletico Madrid to Win @ 160 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atletico Madrid - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham?
You can place your bets on Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwldwwwlw | 1.90 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wldwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.92 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.15 | 1.86 |
Tottenham Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwdlllll | 0.80 |
| Home | lwdlll | 0.67 |
| Away | dwll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.53 |
Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (100%)
1 Matches
Tottenham (0%)
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