After sharing the spoils with Sporting CP in the Lisbon derby at the weekend, we predict that Benfica will defeat Napoli 2-1 in the Champions League round 6 due to their fine home numbers. The Eagles desperately needed a win against Ajax and they managed to get one (2-0), with the team putting an end to their dreadful losing run in the Champions League. As Benfica have been scoring 2.20 goals per game at home, Home Team Over 1.5 betting market seems appealing. The likes of Bruma, Araujo, Lukebakio, Bah, and Felix remain in the recovery room, but Jose Mourinho has strength in depth.
The Neapolitans, on the other hand, are a team with two faces as they are producing fine performances at home, while struggling on the travels. With Antonio Conte’s men suffering five defeats in the last seven away games (conceding almost 2 goals per game), we do not believe that they are capable of spoiling Benfica’s party at Estadio da Luz. Adding to their woes, all Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, Billy Gilmour, Stanislav Lobotka, and Romelu Lukaku miss out with injuries.
Given aforementioned statistical data, our prediction points toward a Home Win, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 10 December 2025 at 20:00.
What is our Benfica vs Napoli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Benfica 2 - 1 Napoli
Benfica vs Napoli Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 162 Odds
- To be booked: Noa Lang @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferBenfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwd | 2.00 |
| Home | wwldd | 1.60 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.96 | 1.85 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.96 | 0.76 | 1.16 |
Napoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdw | 2.10 |
| Home | dwwdw | 2.14 |
| Away | wlw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 57% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 2.14 | 1.33 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.57 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 40% | 57% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 43% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.50 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.03 |
Benfica vs Napoli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Benfica (0%)
2 Matches
Napoli (100%)
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