Fenerbahce and Sturm Graz go head-to-head in Istanbul in what promises to be an entertaining first leg of their Champions League third qualifying round tie. As Fener are a more experienced side than Sturm, we predict a 3-1 home win. The Turkish giants progressed past Gornik Zabrze in the previous round, although they were far from convincing over the two matches. Summer signing Nathan Ake is expected to retain his place in the starting XI, while fellow recruit Mason Greenwood is pushing for his first start. Fenerbahce have been reliable at home of late, averaging two goals per game across their last five home outings, and they will be determined to take an advantage into the return leg.
Sturm Graz, meanwhile, arrive in Turkey in excellent spirits after dismantling Hearts 6-0 on aggregate in the previous round. The Austrian champions have looked well-balanced at both ends of the pitch, scoring two goals per game while conceding just 0.7 on average across their last ten matches. Seedy Jatta is expected to pose the biggest threat after an impressive display against Hearts despite failing to get on the scoresheet. However, injuries to Grgic, Camara, Kiteishvili, and Rozga reduce Sturm's options, and that could prove costly against a Fenerbahce side boasting plenty of quality. Even so, the visitors have enough attacking talent to get on the scoresheet.
Given Fenerbahce's home advantage and greater individual quality, punters from all four corners of the world can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (With two attack-minded teams and plenty of offensive talent on display, this tie has all the ingredients for an entertaining first leg).
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 19:00.
What is our Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Fenerbahce 3 - 1 Sturm Graz
Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 125 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Fenerbahce -1 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Fenerbahce -1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -900 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Fenerbahce to Win @ -900 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Fenerbahce to Win/Fenerbahce to Win @ -120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Fenerbahce - No @ -138 Odds
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View OfferFenerbahce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdllwwdwd | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwdw | 2.20 |
| Away | wllwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.94 | 2.08 | 1.80 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 0.93 | 1.49 |
Sturm Graz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddddwwwwwd | 2.00 |
| Home | ddww | 2.00 |
| Away | ddwwwd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.95 | 2.03 | 1.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.12 | 1.55 |
Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Fenerbahce (50%)
2 Matches
Sturm Graz (0%)
Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz Past Results
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