Hearts have a mountain to climb when they host Sturm Graz in the second leg of the Champions League second qualifying round, trailing 4-0 from the first encounter. The Scottish side have no choice but to attack from the outset if they are to keep their European dream alive. Manager Derek McInnes is expected to ring the changes, with Guendouz, Ba-Sy, and Kerjota all pushing for starting roles. Despite the heavy defeat in Austria, Hearts have been excellent at Tynecastle of late, winning each of their last three home matches while averaging 2.33 goals per game. Their attacking approach should make for an entertaining contest as they chase an unlikely comeback.
Sturm Graz produced a superb display in the first leg and already have one foot in the third qualifying round. The Austrian vice-champions looked dangerous every time they went forward and defended with authority to keep a clean sheet. Sturm have lost just once in their last ten competitive matches, conceding only 0.60 goals per game while averaging 1.90 at the other end. The only concern for the visitors is the fitness of talented midfielder Jacob Hodl, who picked up a knock in the first leg, with Ryan Fosso expected to replace him if required.
Hearts must attack from the first whistle, which should also create space for Sturm on the counter. Therefore, we are tempted to place our bets on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals.
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Hearts vs Sturm Graz prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hearts 2 - 2 Sturm Graz
Hearts vs Sturm Graz Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 125 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Claudio Braga @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Claudio Braga @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: SK Sturm Graz +1 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: SK Sturm Graz +1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 187 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -120 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Hearts to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 600 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Hearts - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferHearts Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwlwlwwlw | 1.90 |
| Home | www | 3.00 |
| Away | dlwlwlw | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.33 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.67 | 1.71 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.65 | 1.48 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 1.01 | 1.42 |
Sturm Graz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdddddwwww | 2.00 |
| Home | dddww | 1.80 |
| Away | wddww | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.88 | 2.02 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
Hearts vs Sturm Graz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hearts (0%)
1 Matches
Sturm Graz (100%)
Hearts vs Sturm Graz Past Results
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