Expect a thrilling atmosphere at Anfield when Liverpool begin their Champions League campaign against Atletico Madrid in what should be a fascinating European encounter. The Reds head into the clash on the back of a routine 2-0 victory over Ipswich Town and will be eager to make a strong start on home soil. Star signing Bradley Barcola is expected to make his full debut after coming off the bench at the weekend, while Ekitike, Gomez and Chiesa remain in the recovery room. Liverpool have scored 1.75 goals per home game in their last 10 matches, which definitely suits our betting angle.
Atletico Madrid, meanwhile, have plenty to prove after suffering a heavy 3-0 defeat to Athletic Club. Los Colchoneros have struggled badly on their travels, winning just 33% of their last 10 away games while conceding 2.50 goals per match. With key attacker Julian Alvarez reportedly unhappy at the club, Atletico could find life difficult at Anfield. Alexander Sorloth is injured, while Arnau Ortiz is suspended.
As Atletico concede 2.50 goals per away game, we believe that there is big value in betting on Liverpool Over 1.5 goals, alongside Liverpool to Win and Over 2.5 goals total (four of the seven previous H2H meetings produced at least three goals).
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +2 @ -700 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferLiverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwlldwddw | 1.60 |
| Home | dwwlldwd | 1.50 |
| Away | dw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 38% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 63% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 38% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 13% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.77 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.40 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwllwwdwl | 1.60 |
| Home | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Away | lllwwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.00 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.82 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.68 | 1.72 | 1.67 |
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Liverpool (57%)
7 Matches
Atletico Madrid (43%)
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Past Results
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