Olympique Marseille host Liverpool in a crucial Champions League clash as both sides aim to secure top-8 playoff positions. As Liverpool are a more experienced side than Marseille, we predict a 2-1 away win. OM are missing Benjamin Pavard, though he is not key to their defensive setup. Roberto De Zerbi's men have been in strong form recently, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an impressive 4.2 goals per game, and conceding just 1.2 goals overall. Their home form remains solid, with 1.75 points per game and 25% clean sheets.
The Reds travel to France with several absentees—Scanlon, Leoni, Isak, and Bajcetic—while Mohamed Salah is back from international duty but unlikely to feature. Despite this, Liverpool maintain solid away form, winning 2 of their last 3 road games and averaging 2.8 goals per game away. Both sides show attacking potential, with historical performances and expected goals indicating a high-scoring affair.
Expect Marseille to push for control at home, while Liverpool rely on counter-attacks and set pieces to exploit defensive gaps. As Liverpool are capable of producing fine displays on the road despite injuries, Away Win is our main betting pick, with additional value on BTTS and Over 2.5 goals.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 21 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Marseille vs Liverpool prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Marseille 1 - 2 Liverpool
Marseille vs Liverpool Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Hugo Ekitike @ 100 Odds
- To be booked: Facundo Medina @ 140 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMarseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldww | 2.00 |
| Home | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Away | wwdww | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.20 | 2.50 | 5.33 |
| Scored | 3.00 | 1.25 | 4.17 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.93 | 1.89 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.73 | 0.98 |
Liverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dddwd | 2.00 |
| Home | wwdwd | 2.20 |
| Away | dwwdd | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.86 | 2.37 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.98 | 1.21 |
Marseille vs Liverpool Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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