Napoli take on Chelsea in a crucial Champions League clash, with both sides targeting progression—Napoli just below the top-24 playoff spots, while Chelsea aim for a top-eight finish and automatic qualification to the last 16. Given their attacking potentials, we predict that they will play out a 2-2 draw at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. The Partenopei get a boost with Romelu Lukaku returning from long-term injury, but confidence is low after a heavy 0-3 defeat to Juventus in Serie A. At home, Napoli average 2.20 points per game, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding just 0.4 per home match, showing solid defensive form despite recent struggles.
Chelsea travel to Naples brimming with confidence after a 3-1 Premier League win over Crystal Palace. Away from home, they average 1.6 points per game with 2.4 goals scored per match, highlighting their attacking threat. Their stats suggest a high-scoring encounter, with both teams hitting 100% Over 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 goals in their H2H clashes, and both teams scoring in all meetings. There are no fresh injury worries in Liam Rosenior's team ahead of Wednesday's encounter, but all Fofana, Gusto, and Gittens are pushing for a start.
Taking everything into account, a goal-filled game with chances at both ends is on the cards. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Both Teams to Score alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 28 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Napoli vs Chelsea prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Napoli 2 - 2 Chelsea
Napoli vs Chelsea Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Cole Palmer @ 175 Odds
- To be booked: Dario Essugo @ 120 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Napoli +0.5 @ -122 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Napoli vs Chelsea?
You can place your bets on Napoli vs Chelsea at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferNapoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwdl | 1.90 |
| Home | wwddw | 2.20 |
| Away | wwddl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.11 | 1.22 | 0.99 |
Chelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwww | 1.50 |
| Home | ldlww | 1.40 |
| Away | ddlww | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 1.68 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.46 | 1.52 |
Napoli vs Chelsea Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Napoli (50%)
2 Matches
Chelsea (50%)
Grimsby
Wolves
Oxford United
Sunderland
Stoke City
Fulham
Arsenal
Wigan
Napoli
AS Roma
