Sparkles will be flying when Newcastle United and Barcelona go head to head at St. James’ Park in the first leg of the Champions League last 16. As the Magpies are tough to beat at home, we predict that they will hold Barcelona to a 2-2 draw. Newcastle United have been having their ups and downs of late, with the team beating Manchester United 2-1 in the Premier League, while suffering elimination to Man City in the FA Cup last 16. Their home numbers, though, remain impressive, with the team netting 2.00 goals per home game with 1.70 expected goals. There are no fresh injury worries in Eddie Howe’s team, but key midfielder Bruno Guimaraes remains in the treatment room.
Barcelona, on the other hand, defeated Athletic Club 1-0 at the weekend to retain top position in the La Liga standings. As both Raphinha and Robert Lewandowski return to the starting XI, the Catalan giants should look much sharper up front in Wednesday’s showdown. Influential midfielder Pedri is back as well, but the likes of Kounde, Balde, de Jong, and Gavi remain on the sidelines. Anyhow, a high-scoring affair is on the cards at St. James’ Park as Hansi Flick’s charges have been scoring 2.40 goals per game in recent weeks (2.29 xG).
Newcastle United are a real force to be reckoned with at home and given Barcelona’s attacking potential, Both Teams to Score seems like a sure bet. Additionally, Over 9.5 corners and Over 2.5 goals markets are worth considering.
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Newcastle vs Barcelona prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Newcastle 2 - 2 Barcelona
Newcastle vs Barcelona Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Robert Lewandowski @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Robert Lewandowski @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Alvaro Cortes @ 140 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Newcastle +0.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Newcastle +1 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -175 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Barcelona to Win @ -163 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 600 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Barcelona - No @ -600 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Newcastle vs Barcelona?
You can place your bets on Newcastle vs Barcelona at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferNewcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwwlwlwl | 1.50 |
| Home | lwlwl | 1.20 |
| Away | lwwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.30 | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.77 | 1.70 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.58 | 1.39 |
Barcelona Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwllwwww | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwllw | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.29 | 2.60 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.99 | 0.73 | 1.25 |
Newcastle vs Barcelona Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newcastle (0%)
1 Matches
Barcelona (100%)
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