Newcastle United and Qaragab face each other at St. James’ Park in a David-vs-Goliath Champions League clash. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, we predict a routine 4-1 home win. The Magpies rolled over Qarabag 6-1 in the first leg to move one step closer towards the last 16, but they surely want to give fans yet another reason to celebrate on Tuesday evening. As Newcastle have been scoring 2.00 goals per game of late, Home Team Over 1.5 bet seems appealing. Key midfielder Bruno Guimaraes remains in the recovery room, but was not missed at all in the first leg, while centre-back Malick Thiaw serves a one-game ban.
The Azeri, on the other hand, face yet another uphill task in the second leg as they need to overcome a five-goal deficit away from home. As Qarabag experienced all sorts of problems at the back in the 6-1 loss to Newcastle United a week ago, we are not tempted to place our bets on the underdogs. The fact that Qarabag have been conceding 2.00 goals per away game of late definitely goes in favour of our betting prediction.
Taking everything into account, anything but a routine Home Win would be a big surprise. Additionally, Over 3.5 goals bet should be considered as both sides are expected to adopt an attack-minded approach in the return leg.
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Newcastle vs Qarabag prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Newcastle 4 - 1 Qarabag
Newcastle vs Qarabag Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 4-1 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Over 4.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade @ -163 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade @ 333 Odds
- To be Booked: Kevin Medina @ 260 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Newcastle -2 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Newcastle -1 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 9.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 12.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Newcastle to Win @ -2500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Newcastle to Win/Newcastle to Win @ -200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Newcastle - No @ -125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Newcastle vs Qarabag?
You can place your bets on Newcastle vs Qarabag at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferNewcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldlllwwwl | 1.30 |
| Home | wll | 1.00 |
| Away | dllwwwl | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.14 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.67 | 1.86 |
| BTTS | 80% | 33% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.60 | 1.52 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.56 | 1.35 | 1.65 |
Qarabag Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwllwlwwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Away | lwllww | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.75 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.48 | 1.59 |
Newcastle vs Qarabag Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newcastle (100%)
1 Matches
Qarabag (0%)
Norway
Switzerland
Spain
Egypt
Sweden
Poland
Kosovo
Turkey
Czech Republic
Denmark
Bosnia Herzegovina
Italy
