PSG will try to recover from a heart-breaking 3-1 loss to Monaco when they take on Chelsea in the Champions League last 16, first leg. As Les Parisiens are boosted by the return of key attacker, we predict a 2-1 home win. Luis Enrique’s men are determined to defend their Champions League title and their home xG of 2.29 gives fans reason for optimism ahead of Wednesday’s showdown. With Ousmane Dembele returning from injury, home win should definitely be considered.
The Blues, on the other hand, recorded a hard-fought win over Wrexham in the FA Cup last 16 at the weekend. Liam Rosenior’s men aim to give fans yet another reason to celebrate, but they will have a mountain to climb in “The City of Lights”. You should bear in mind that Chelsea have been conceding 1.67 goals per away game of late. Wingers Jamie Gittens and Estevao are both out of contention with injuries.
PSG are a real force to be reckoned with at home and given Dembele’s return to the starting XI, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, Both Teams to Score (71% H2H) and Over 2.5 goals (71%) bets seem appealing.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our PSG vs Chelsea prediction?
Our prediction for this match: PSG 2 - 1 Chelsea
PSG vs Chelsea Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Dario Essugo @ 100 Odds
- Asian Handicap: PSG 0 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: PSG +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: PSG to Win @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: PSG to Win/PSG to Win @ 220 Odds
- Clean Sheet: PSG - No @ -350 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on PSG vs Chelsea?
You can place your bets on PSG vs Chelsea at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferPSG Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwlwwdwl | 2.00 |
| Home | dwwdl | 1.60 |
| Away | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.31 | 2.29 | 2.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.03 |
Chelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwdwdlww | 2.00 |
| Home | wdd | 1.67 |
| Away | wlwwlww | 2.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 33% | 71% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 2.00 | 2.71 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.29 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.73 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.15 | 1.25 |
PSG vs Chelsea Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
PSG (43%)
7 Matches
Chelsea (29%)
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