PSV host Bayern Munich in a crucial final-round Champions League clash, with the Dutch side aiming to secure a top-24 playoffs spot. Given Bayern's fine record, our prediction leans toward a 3-1 away win. PSV will miss defender Yarek Gasiorowski (suspension) but regain Ismael Saibari from international duty. The hosts have been in fine form, winning 70% of matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored per game, and scoring heavily at home (3.2 goals per home match). However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding 1.8 goals per home game, so Bayern’s attacking prowess could be a real test.
Bayern Munich, having already secured their last-16 spot, may see some rotation under Vincent Kompany, but remain extremely dangerous. Min-Jae Kim is banned, yet their squad depth is strong. Bayern have been dominant away, winning 100% of away matches, scoring 4.8 goals per game, and conceding just 0.4. They combine clinical finishing with solid defense, making them the clear favorites.
The German champions have strength in depth and despite PSV's playoffs aspirations, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Bayern Munich Over 1.5 goals.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 28 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our PSV vs Bayern Munich prediction?
Our prediction for this match: PSV 1 - 3 Bayern Munich
PSV vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Harry Kane @ -138 Odds
- To be booked: Adamo Nagalo @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bayern Munich -1 @ -134 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferPSV Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwld | 2.20 |
| Home | lwwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.93 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.26 | 1.40 |
Bayern Munich Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwl | 2.50 |
| Home | wdwwl | 2.00 |
| Away | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.60 | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| Scored | 3.80 | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.38 | 2.32 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.97 | 0.82 | 1.11 |
PSV vs Bayern Munich Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
PSV (0%)
2 Matches
Bayern Munich (100%)
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