Qarabag FK head into this clash in solid form after a 1–0 weekend win over Imisli FK and with no fresh injury concerns. Qarabag have been scoring goals for fun in the Champions League this term and given Newcastle's attacking potential, our prediction points toward a 2-2 draw. The Goy-aglar's home performances remain impressive: 2.25 points per game, 75% win rate, and 2.25 goals scored on average at their stadium. With an expected goals of 2.00 at home and only 1.00 xGA, Qarabag have been efficient at controlling matches on familiar turf. Overall, they’ve won 60% of recent games and average 3.30 total goals per match, suggesting a lively encounter.
Newcastle United continue to struggle with injuries as Bruno Guimaraes joins Joelinton, Livramento and Schar on the sidelines, while Lewis Miley remains a major doubt. Their recent form is mixed (LLLWW), but their away numbers are competitive: 1.33 points per game, 1.33 goals scored, and an 83% BTTS rate on the road. Defensively, however, the Magpies concede 1.67 goals away, and their xGA of 1.61 hints at vulnerabilities Qarabag can exploit.
Considering BTTS is 60% for both sides overall and 83% in Newcastle away games, we believe that there is big value in betting on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals (Qarabag games average 3.30 goals; Newcastle’s average 3.00).
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Qarabag vs Newcastle prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Qarabag 2 - 2 Newcastle
Qarabag vs Newcastle Betting Tips
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade @ -111 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Kevin Medina @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: FK Qarabag +1.5 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: FK Qarabag +2 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -1000 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Newcastle to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 750 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Newcastle - No @ -200 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Qarabag vs Newcastle?
You can place your bets on Qarabag vs Newcastle at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferQarabag Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlww | 1.80 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | wllww | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.50 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.65 | 2.00 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.00 | 1.61 |
Newcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllww | 1.10 |
| Home | lwll | 0.75 |
| Away | dllww | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.36 | 1.61 |
Qarabag vs Newcastle Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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