All eyes will be on Estadio Santiago Bernabeu as Real Madrid host Bayern Munich in the first leg of the Champions League quarter-finals. Given the attacking potential of both sides, we predict a 2-2 draw. Los Blancos are missing the likes of Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo after a shocking 2–1 defeat to Mallorca in La Liga. Despite that setback, Real Madrid have been strong at home, winning 80% of their last five games at the Bernabeu, scoring 2.4 goals per match, and conceding just once. Their expected goals of 1.74 per match reflects consistent attacking threat, though clean sheets have been rare (20%).
Bayern Munich travel to Madrid in formidable form, having won nine of their last ten matches with an average of 4.3 goals per game. Harry Kane is expected to return, boosting an already potent attack that averages 3.3 goals scored per match and concedes just 1.0. Vincent Kompany has no fresh injury worries, which supports our betting angle. Historically, Real Madrid have had the edge in H2H clashes, winning 8 of 12 meetings, but these fixtures are typically high-scoring, with 83% going over 2.5 goals and 75% seeing both teams score.
Both sides score heavily in recent matches and given high-scoring H2H, we are tempted to bet on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 yellow cards (referee Oliver hands out cards freely).
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 2 - 2 Bayern Munich
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -138 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Dayot Upamecano @ 250 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid +0.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Bayern Munich +1 @ -1200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 650 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Bayern Munich - No @ -700 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich?
You can place your bets on Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlwwwwwl | 2.10 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wlwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.33 |
Bayern Munich Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwdwww | 2.80 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.30 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.26 | 2.49 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 1.03 | 1.45 |
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (67%)
12 Matches
Bayern Munich (17%)
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