After defeating Benfica 1-0 in Lisbon, Real Madrid will look to clinch their spot in the Champions League last 16 when they face the Eagles at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. As Benfica failed to create a descent goal-scoring opportunity in the first leg, we predict a 2-1 home win. Los Blancos are low on confidence following a shocking 2-1 La Liga loss to Osasuna, but they are still seen as hot favourites to win Wednesday’s Champions League game. Defenders Eder Militao and Dean Huijsen, and star players Kylian Mbappe and Jude Bellingham miss out with injuries, while winger Rodrygo is banned for the second leg. Anyhow, home win should be considered as Alvaro Arbeloa’s men average 2.13 expected goals at home.
Jose Mourinho’s men, on the other hand, face an uphill task in the return leg. As Benfica need to adopt an attack-minded approach this time out, we predict that Real Madrid will have a number of opportunities to score on the break. Felix, Soares, and Veloso are all sidelined with injuries, while winger Gianluca Prestianni is back from the domestic ban. Anyhow, away win should not be considered as the Eagles have been scoring only 0.80 goals per game on the road.
Real Madrid proved their worth in the first leg and given Benfica’s struggles on the travels, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Champions League matchup. Additionally, Vinicius Junior to Score or Assist and Real Madrid Over 1.5 goals bets seem tempting.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Real Madrid vs Benfica prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 2 - 1 Benfica
Real Madrid vs Benfica Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 300 Odds
- To be Booked: Jose Neto @ 105 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -0.5 @ -149 Odds
- European Handicap: Benfica +2 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -500 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -334 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid to Win/Real Madrid to Win @ 150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Madrid - No @ -250 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Real Madrid vs Benfica?
You can place your bets on Real Madrid vs Benfica at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwlwwwwl | 2.10 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lwlwwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.25 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.50 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.98 | 2.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.39 | 1.30 |
Benfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwwdwwlw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Away | lwldw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 2.17 | 2.33 | 2.02 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.04 | 1.07 | 1.02 |
Real Madrid vs Benfica Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (50%)
2 Matches
Benfica (50%)
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