Expect a thrilling atmosphere at Bank Respublika Arena when Sabah Baku and The New Saints square off in the first leg of the Champions League first qualifying round. Sabah enjoyed a historic campaign by winning their first-ever Azerbaijan Premier League title and will be eager to carry that momentum into Europe. The hosts will once again rely on prolific forward Joy-Lance Mickels, who scored 19 league goals last season. Sabah have been in excellent form lately, winning seven of their last ten matches in all competitions while averaging 1.9 goals per game. Their attacking displays are backed up by an impressive expected goals average of 2.10, highlighting their ability to create quality chances.
The New Saints, meanwhile, remain the dominant force in Welsh football after another successful domestic campaign. Jordan Williams, who finished last season with 26 league goals, will be the visitors' main attacking weapon. TNS have also enjoyed an impressive run of form, winning eight of their last ten matches and conceding only 0.8 goals per game. However, facing a considerably stronger and more expensive squad on the European stage represents a much sterner test than they are used to domestically, and they could struggle to match Sabah's quality over 90 minutes.
As Sabah Baku possess greater overall quality and should make home advantage count, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, Sabah Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals total bets are worth considering as both teams have been scoring freely in the national championship, averaging 2.1 and 1.9 goals per game respectively.
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 7 July 2026 at 17:00.
What is our Sabah Baku vs TNS prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sabah Baku 3 - 1 TNS
Sabah Baku vs TNS Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
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View OfferSabah Baku Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwwwlwlw | 2.20 |
| Home | dwwlwl | 1.67 |
| Away | wwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.67 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.10 | 2.22 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.79 | 1.54 |
TNS Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwwlwww | 2.40 |
| Home | wwllw | 1.80 |
| Away | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.09 | 2.08 | 2.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.08 | 1.25 |
Sabah Baku vs TNS Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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