As St Gilloise head into Tuesday's Champions League clash with Olympique Marseille in excellent form, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win. The Belgian champions have been collecting 2.00 points per game overall with an impressive 2.50 PPG at home. Their defensive structure has been particularly strong in Brussels, conceding just 0.50 goals per match, while their xG of 1.97 at home shows consistent chance creation. Offensively, they average 1.75 goals on home soil and have failed to score in 0% of those games, underlining their reliability. Mohammed Fuseini remains sidelined, but the in-form Belgian hosts should cope well without him.
The Ligue 1 outfit, meanwhile, remain unpredictable. They average 1.40 points per game overall and just 1.20 on the road, with their away expected goals dropping to 1.11, a clear dip in attacking efficiency compared to their strong home numbers. Defensively, they concede 1.20 goals per match both home and away, illustrating ongoing struggles. Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg’s absence due to illness is a significant blow, given his influence in midfield balance and ball progression.
Backed by their stronger home metrics, St Gilloise Draw No Bet seems like the safest betting option. BTTS and Over 2.5 goals markets are also worth considering as both sides have been averaging above 2.5 goals per game.
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 9 December 2025 at 20:00.
What is our St Gilloise vs Marseille prediction?
Our prediction for this match: St Gilloise 2 - 1 Marseille
St Gilloise vs Marseille Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 130 Odds
- To be booked: Facundo Medina @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferSt Gilloise Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwd | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Away | wldwl | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.76 | 1.97 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.10 | 0.93 | 1.24 |
Marseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdl | 1.40 |
| Home | dlwwd | 1.60 |
| Away | llwwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.88 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.15 |
St Gilloise vs Marseille Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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