Sturm Graz will have a mountain to climb when they welcome Fenerbahce to Merkur Arena for the second leg of their UEFA Champions League third qualifying round tie. The Austrian champions trail 2-0 after a routine defeat in Istanbul and now need a near-perfect performance to overturn the deficit. Adding to their problems, Camara, Grgic, Kiteishvili, and Rozga remain sidelined through injury. Despite the first-leg setback, Sturm have been in solid form recently, collecting 1.9 points per game from their last ten matches in all competitions while averaging 1.9 goals per match. The fact that Sturm crushed Hearts 4-0 in their last home game in the CL qualifiers is fuelling fans with optimism ahead of Tuesday's clash.
Fenerbahce travel to Austria with one foot in the playoff round after a commanding display in the opening encounter. The Turkish giants strengthened significantly over the summer with the arrivals of Nathan Ake and Mason Greenwood, and the latter will once again be the player to watch after his stunning strike in the first leg. Fenerbahce have averaged 1.9 goals per game across their last ten matches and boast an expected goals figure of 1.98, underlining their attacking quality. With their experience, squad depth, and two-goal cushion, the visitors should be able to control the tie and finish the job.
Fenerbahce look superior and already hold a comfortable aggregate lead. Therefore, our main prediction leans toward Away Win, alongside BTTS as Sturm are capable of finding the net in front of home fans.
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sturm Graz 1 - 2 Fenerbahce
Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 650 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Vedat Muriqi @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Vedat Muriqi @ 300 Odds
- Asian Handicap: SK Sturm Graz +1 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: SK Sturm Graz +1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Double Chance: 1X @ -120 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 500 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Fenerbahce - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferSturm Graz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dddwwwwwdl | 1.90 |
| Home | ddww | 2.00 |
| Away | dwwwdl | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.92 | 2.03 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.12 | 1.45 |
Fenerbahce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdllwwdwdw | 1.80 |
| Home | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Away | wllwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.98 | 2.16 | 1.80 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 0.80 | 1.49 |
Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sturm Graz (0%)
3 Matches
Fenerbahce (67%)
Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce Past Results
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