Villarreal head into this Champions League clash still searching for their first win of the campaign, but there were encouraging signs in recent home displays. As Ajax are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 3-2 home win. The Yellow Submarine average 1.75 goals scored at home and their matches feature 3.25 goals per game, suggesting that entertainment is almost guaranteed. However, the absence of suspended midfielder Pape Gueye is a blow in a team already conceding 1.50 goals per home match.
Ajax travel to Spain after a chaotic but morale-boosting 4-2 win over Qarabag before the winter break, though their chances of reaching the playoffs remain slim. The Dutch giants have been in a fine form of late, averaging a massive 4.60 goals per game overall and 5.67 away from home, but their defensive record on the road remains poor, with 2.50 goals conceded on average and 0 clean sheets. Injuries to Tomiyasu, Berghuis and Weghorst further reduce stability at both ends of the pitch.
As both teams average 3.3+ goals in their respective matches, a high-scoring affair is on the cards, with Over 2.5 goals being our main betting pick. BTTS and Home Win bets should also be considered as the Yellow Submarine have turned their Estadio de la Ceramica into a real fortress.
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 20 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Villarreal vs Ajax prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Villarreal 3 - 2 Ajax
Villarreal vs Ajax Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ayoze Perez @ -175 Odds
- To be Booked: Aaron Bouwman @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 12.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferVillarreal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwl | 1.30 |
| Home | wllw | 1.50 |
| Away | wdlwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.25 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.72 | 1.50 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.38 | 1.63 |
Ajax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwld | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Away | wwdwl | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.60 | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| Scored | 2.90 | 2.50 | 3.17 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 75% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.75 | 1.66 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.67 | 1.82 |
Villarreal vs Ajax Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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