All eyes will be on Estadio de la Cartuja as Atletico Madrid take on Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey final. As los Rojiblancos arrive full of confidence after eliminating Barcelona in the Champions League, we predict a 2-1 away win. Atletico's recent form suggests some inconsistency, with the team averaging 1.20 points per game. Still, Diego Simeone's men are strong going forward, scoring 1.80 goals per match, with high-scoring games (3.70 average total goals). The capital club are more reliable at home with a 60% win rate. Marc Pubill returns from suspension, while Pablo Barrios remains sidelined.
Real Sociedad head into the final in better overall form, averaging 1.70 points per game. The Basques match Atletico’s attacking output (1.80 goals per game) and have been consistent in front of goal, scoring in every match across the last 10. Defensively, La Real are slightly more balanced, conceding 1.70 per match and keeping 40% clean sheets. Jon Martin returns from suspension, while another defender is available despite a recent red card.
Given Atletico Madrid's H2H edge and momentum, Home Win should be considered, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (both sides consistent in attack).
This Copa del Rey match will be played on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 162 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Jon Aramburu @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid -0.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -200 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ 100 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid to Win/Atletico Madrid to Win @ 350 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Arsenal - No @ -300 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
You can place your bets on Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwlllwll | 1.20 |
| Home | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.61 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.49 | 2.04 |
Real Sociedad Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwwlwlwd | 1.70 |
| Home | dwwwd | 2.20 |
| Away | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.62 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.35 | 1.70 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (62%)
34 Matches
Real Sociedad (18%)
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