Baleares face Atletico Madrid aiming to cause an upset in the Copa del Rey, but the task looks daunting against a high-flying La Liga side. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a 3-0 away win. The hosts arrive in decent form despite a recent 3-1 defeat at Terrassa, having won four of their previous five matches and averaging 2.5 goals per game overall. At home, Baleares post 2.33 points per game and concede just 0.67 goals on average, which suggests they can stay competitive, at least early on. There are no fresh injury concerns for the hosts, allowing them to field their strongest XI.
Los Rojiblancos, however, bring clear quality and depth. Diego Simeone’s side have won 80% of their recent matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game and generating an expected goals of 1.67. Antoine Griezmann is expected to return to the starting lineup after his decisive cameo against Valencia, while Almada, Le Normand and Gallagher are also pushing for starts. Even away from home, Atletico average 2.75 total goals per match, underlining their attacking threat.
Considering Atletico's superior quality and 80% win rate, Away Win seems like a sure bet, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals as both teams average 2.5+ total goals per game. Antoine Griezmann to Score looks like an interesting bet as well.
This Copa del Rey match will be played on Wednesday 17 December 2025 at 18:00.
What is our Baleares vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Baleares 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid
Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-3
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ -111 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferBaleares Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwl | 2.00 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.33 |
| Away | lwwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.17 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.06 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 0.97 | 1.42 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllww | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wllw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.17 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.67 | 1.88 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.20 | 1.49 |
Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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