Barcelona will try to overcome a four-goal deficit in the Copa del Rey tie with Atletico Madrid when the two teams square off against each other at Camp Nou. As Barca are a real force to be reckoned with at home, we predict a 3-1 home win. Hansi Flick’s men have been scoring 3.40 goals per home game, meaning that Barca Over 1.5 seems like a sure bet. Even though both Eric Garcia (suspension) and Robert Lewandowski (injury) are out of contention, home win should be considered.
Los Rojiblancos, on the other hand, proved their worth in the first leg, but they will have a much bigger fish to fry at Camp Nou. As Diego Simeone’s troops failed to impress in a 1-0 win over Oviedo, we are not tempted to place our bets on the capital club. Atletico, though, have been scoring 1.80 goals per away game of late, meaning that a high-scoring affair is on the cards in the return leg. Midfielder Pablo Barrios is a major doubt, but Diego Simeone can count on key players for Tuesday’s showdown.
As Barcelona have defeated Atletico Madrid in four of their last five meetings at Camp Nou, we predict Home Win, with additional value on Both Teams to Score (59% H2H), and Over 2.5 goals (53% H2H).
This Copa del Rey match will be played on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Barcelona 3 - 1 Atletico Madrid
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ferran Torres @ -120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ferran Torres @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Jorge Koke @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Barcelona -1 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Barcelona -1 @ -105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 187 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -700 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Barcelona to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Barcelona to Win/Barcelona to Win @ 105 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Barcelona - No @ -334 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid?
You can place your bets on Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferBarcelona Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwllww | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.37 | 2.46 | 2.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.04 | 0.79 | 1.29 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwlwldwww | 1.70 |
| Home | llwww | 1.80 |
| Away | dwldw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.97 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.26 | 1.55 |
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Barcelona (57%)
49 Matches
Atletico Madrid (18%)
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