What is our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Barcelona
3 - 1
Atletico Madrid
Our prediction for this match: Barcelona 3 - 1 Atletico Madrid
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Preview
Barcelona will try to overcome a four-goal deficit in the Copa del Rey tie with Atletico Madrid when the two teams square off against each other at Camp Nou. As Barca are a real force to be reckoned with at home, we predict a 3-1 home win. Hansi Flick’s men have been scoring 3.40 goals per home game, meaning that Barca Over 1.5 seems like a sure bet. Even though both Eric Garcia (suspension) and Robert Lewandowski (injury) are out of contention, home win should be considered.
Los Rojiblancos, on the other hand, proved their worth in the first leg, but they will have a much bigger fish to fry at Camp Nou. As Diego Simeone’s troops failed to impress in a 1-0 win over Oviedo, we are not tempted to place our bets on the capital club. Atletico, though, have been scoring 1.80 goals per away game of late, meaning that a high-scoring affair is on the cards in the return leg. Midfielder Pablo Barrios is a major doubt, but Diego Simeone can count on key players for Tuesday’s showdown.
As Barcelona have defeated Atletico Madrid in four of their last five meetings at Camp Nou, we predict Home Win, with additional value on Both Teams to Score (59% H2H), and Over 2.5 goals (53% H2H).
This Copa del Rey match will be played on Tuesday, 3 March 2026 at 20:00.
- Competition
- Copa del Rey
- Kick-off
- Tue 3 Mar, 20:00UK time
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreBarcelona 3-1 Atletico Madrid | 1000 | |
| Double Chance1X | -700 | |
| Draw No BetBarcelona | -500 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeBarcelona / Barcelona | 105 | |
| Asian HandicapBarcelona -1 | -167 | |
| European HandicapBarcelona -1 | -105 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -250 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -1600 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -400 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5 Goals | -163 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -188 | |
| Clean SheetBarcelona: No | -334 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerFerran Torres | -120 | |
| First GoalscorerFerran Torres | 450 | |
| To be BookedJorge Koke | 160 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 187 |
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View OfferBarcelona Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwllww | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.37 | 2.46 | 2.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.04 | 0.79 | 1.29 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwlwldwww | 1.70 |
| Home | llwww | 1.80 |
| Away | dwldw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.97 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.26 | 1.55 |
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Barcelona (57%)
49 Matches
Atletico Madrid (18%)
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Past Results
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