Burgos vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips | 15/01/2026

Burgos vs Valencia Prediction and Betting Tips | 15 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

12 January 2026 • 16:18 UTC • 1 min read

Burgos vs Valencia Prediction and Betting Tips 15 January 2026

Burgos and Valencia square off against each other at Estadio El Plantio in what promises to be a close encounter. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw. Los Burgaleses proved their worth in a 1-0 win over Eibar, and now defender Alex Lizancos returns from suspension to reinforce a back line that has conceded just 0.90 goals per game this season. The hosts are compact, disciplined, and particularly tough to beat at home, keeping 40% clean sheets in Vitoria, although their home points return (1.40 PPG) is slightly lower than their away output.

Valencia, meanwhile, arrive under pressure. Not only did Thierry Correia limp off in the 1-1 draw with Elche—likely forcing Dimitri Foulquier into the XI—but frustrated ultras confronted the players post-match. Los Che's form sits at 1.40 PPG, but their away profile is volatile: 1.40 goals scored, 1.60 conceded, and only 40% wins. Matches involving Carlos Corberan's troops tend to open up, with 80% BTTS across all competitions and an away 3.00 goals-per-game average.

Considering that Burgos home matches stay tight and controlled, we believe that there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.

This Copa del Rey match will be played on Thursday 15 January 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Burgos vs Valencia prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Burgos 1 - 1 Valencia

Burgos vs Valencia Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Anytime Goalscorer: Hugo Duro @ 150 Odds
To be booked: Gregorio Sierra @ 137 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

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Burgos Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwdlw	1.60
Home	llwdw	1.40
Away	wlwwl	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	40%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	1.90	2.00	1.80
Scored	1.00	1.00	1.00
Conceded	0.90	1.00	0.80
BTTS	30%	40%	20%
Clean Sheets	30%	20%	40%
Failed to Score	40%	40%	40%
Expected Goals	1.06	1.16	0.95
Expected Goals Against	1.35	1.30	1.39

Valencia Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwdld	1.40
Home	dwddd	1.40
Away	dwlwl	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	20%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	1.80	3.00
Scored	1.20	1.00	1.40
Conceded	1.20	0.80	1.60
BTTS	80%	80%	80%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.64	1.53	1.75
Expected Goals Against	1.11	0.74	1.47