Deportivo La Coruna host Atletico Madrid in the Copa del Rey last 16 hoping to halt their worrying Segunda Division slide. As los Rojiblancos want to save the season by going all the way in the Spanish Cup, we predict a 3-1 away win. The Galicians are on a five-game winless run, though the return of defender Miguel Loureiro from suspension is a timely boost. Deportivo’s overall numbers look better on paper than their recent form suggests—1.70 points per game, 50% win rate, and a respectable 1.40 goals scored on average. However, defensive issues persist, especially at home where they concede 1.80 goals per match and allow 1.39 xGA, which is concerning against a top-tier attack.
Atletico travel to Galicia eager to bounce back from their dramatic Spanish Super Cup defeat to Real Madrid. Diego Simeone has no fresh injuries and could restore Le Normand, Almada and Griezmann to the starting XI. With 1.90 PPG, 60% win rate, and 3.10 average goals per game, Los Rojiblancos remain dangerous. Their BTTS rate is high at 70%, but they also keep only 20% clean sheets, so games often open up.
Considering Atletico Madrid's higher quality and deeper squad, we are tempted to bet on Away Win. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and Atletico Madrid Over 1.5 goals boast big value as both sides average 2.6 + goals.
This Copa del Rey match will be played on Tuesday 13 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Deportivo vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Deportivo 1 - 3 Atletico Madrid
Deportivo vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ -150 Odds
- To be Booked: Jose Angel Jurado @ 225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferDeportivo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldd | 1.70 |
| Home | wllwd | 1.40 |
| Away | wwwld | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.52 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.39 | 1.69 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdl | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Away | lwwwd | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.75 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.82 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.36 | 1.64 |
Deportivo vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Deportivo (6%)
16 Matches
Atletico Madrid (75%)
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