Granada and Rayo Vallecano meet in the Copa del Rey last 32, a tie where both sides are expected to adopt a cautious approach. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. The Andalusians into this clash after a 3-2 defeat to Almeria, and defender Pau Casadesus is unlikely to feature after picking up a knock. Even so, Granada’s home numbers show resilience: they average 1.50 points per game, are unbeaten in four at home, and have scored in every home match. Their expected goals of 1.82 at home also reflects steady attacking output, although a 100% BTTS rate at home shows defensive vulnerabilities.
Los Vallecanos, meanwhile, drew 1-1 with Getafe in La Liga, and defender Luiz Felipe is a major doubt, with Nobel Mendy expected to step in. Their form is similar to Granada’s, also at 1.30 points per game overall, but away results remain inconsistent. Rayo concede 1.50 goals per away match, and their 50% BTTS rate on the road suggests they can be opened up, even in controlled matches.
Both teams are likely to adopt a cautious approach in Tuesday's Copa del Rey game and given their recent tight matches, Under 2.5 goals seems like the best betting option, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Copa del Rey match will be played on Tuesday 6 January 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Granada vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Granada 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Granada vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferGranada Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdldl | 1.30 |
| Home | wddd | 1.50 |
| Away | dwwll | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.82 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.22 | 1.49 |
Rayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwld | 1.30 |
| Home | ddwd | 1.50 |
| Away | lwlwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.19 | 1.35 |
Granada vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Granada (11%)
18 Matches
Rayo Vallecano (67%)
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