Valencia enter the Copa del Rey quarter-finals looking to bounce back from a 2–1 defeat to Real Betis. As Athletic Bilbao do not seem to be at their sharpest, we predict a 2-1 home win. Los Che will have to do so without Correia, Diakhaby and Agirrezabala, but even with these absences, they have been consistent at Mestalla, taking 1.50 points per game at home and scoring in every match across their recent form. BTTS has landed in 100% of their home fixtures, helped by their average of 1.50 goals scored but also a lack of clean sheets.
Athletic Club head into Wednesday's Copa del Rey game with Inigo Lekue returning after missing the Basque derby draw with Real Sociedad. Ernesto Valverde’s team have struggled for stability: they’ve taken just 0.33 points per game in their last three at home, but away from San Mames they remain more competitive (1.43 PPG). BTTS has landed in 80% of their recent games, and defensive issues continue – Athletic concede 2.20 goals per match overall and have kept just one clean sheet in their last ten.
Historically, this matchup is evenly balanced (15–13–12), with goals common and tension high. With both sides averaging high goal totals (2.70 and 3.80), Over 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside BTTS (100% BTTS in Valencia’s recent home games, 80% in Athletic’s overall) and Valencia Draw no Bet.
This Copa del Rey match will be played on Wednesday 4 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Valencia 2 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Hugo Duro @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Hugo Duro @ 450 Odds
- To be booked: Mouctar Diakhaby @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Valencia +0.5 @ -211 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -225 Odds
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View OfferValencia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwl | 1.50 |
| Home | dddw | 1.50 |
| Away | wlwwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.46 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 0.96 | 1.30 |
Athletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlld | 1.10 |
| Home | lld | 0.33 |
| Away | lwlwl | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.33 | 1.71 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.29 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.77 | 1.72 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.43 |
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Valencia (38%)
40 Matches
Athletic Bilbao (30%)
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