Lyon vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips | 05/03/2026

Lyon vs Lens Prediction and Betting Tips | 5 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

3 March 2026 • 09:43 UTC • 1 min read

Lyon vs Lens Prediction and Betting Tips 5 March 2026

Thursday's Coupe de France quarter-final between Olympique Lyon and Lens promises a high-intensity clash between two in-form sides. Given the attacking potentials of both sides, we predict a 2-2 draw. Les Gones are looking to bounce back after a heartbreaking 3–2 stoppage-time loss to Olympique Marseille, but their recent numbers remain excellent. They are perfect at home with 5 wins from 5, averaging 2.20 goals scored and conceding just 0.60 per match at Groupama Stadium. Their home xGA of 1.08 shows strong defensive structure, while an xG of 1.49 highlights consistent chance creation. Nicolas Tagliafico should recover from a knock and boost the left flank.

Lens, on the other hand, are unbeaten in five and posting similarly impressive data. Les Sang et Or average 2.83 goals scored away, backed by a robust xG of 1.84 on the road. However, the injury list is long: Aguilar, Antonio, Baidoo, Gradit and Gurtner all miss out, weakening both their defensive depth and transitional play. Despite competitive away results, these absences could tilt the balance.

As both sides average above 3.0 goals per game overall, we are tempted to place our bets on Over 2.5 goals, alongside Over 3.5 goals and Over 1.5 first half.

This Coupe de France match will be played on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 20:10.

What is our Lyon vs Lens prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Lyon 2 - 2 Lens

Lyon vs Lens Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1100 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 175 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Odsonne Edouard @ 150 Odds
First Goalscorer: Odsonne Edouard @ 500 Odds
To be Booked: Fode Sylla @ 137 Odds
Asian Handicap: Lyon +0.5 @ -191 Odds
European Handicap: Lyon +1 @ -200 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -200 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
Clean Sheet: Lyon - No @ -400 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Lyon vs Lens?

You can place your bets on Lyon vs Lens at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Lyon Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwll	2.40
Home	wwwww	3.00
Away	wwwll	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	80%	100%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	3.20	2.80	3.60
Scored	2.10	2.20	2.00
Conceded	1.10	0.60	1.60
BTTS	50%	40%	60%
Clean Sheets	50%	60%	40%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.38	1.49	1.27
Expected Goals Against	1.29	1.08	1.50

Lens Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwld	2.20
Home	wwwl	2.25
Away	wlwwd	2.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	75%	67%
Average Goals Per Game	3.40	2.75	3.83
Scored	2.40	1.75	2.83
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
Clean Sheets	50%	50%	50%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.78	1.70	1.84
Expected Goals Against	1.12	1.02	1.20