Olympique Marseille and Toulouse meet in the Coupe de France quarter-finals, with the hosts coming into the tie boosted by a dramatic 3-2 comeback win over Lyon. As Toulouse have some injuries worries, we predict a 2-1 home win. OM will be without banned midfielder Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, an important presence in their build-up play. Even so, their home numbers remain strong: 2.00 points per game, 2.20 goals scored on average, and only 1.60 conceded. Their xG at home (1.46) and xGA (1.21) suggest they generally control matches at the Velodrome.
Toulouse, meanwhile, head into the match with a significant injury crisis as Allaziz, Francis, Magri, Messali and Nicolaisen are all sidelined, weakening both their defence and attacking rotations. They lost 1-0 to Rennes at the weekend and remain inconsistent away from home, averaging just 0.80 points per game and scoring only 0.80 goals on their travels. Their xGA away (1.01) is decent, but the lack of attacking output remains a major concern.
Given Marseille’s home strength and Toulouse’s absences, the hosts enter as deserved favourites. Therefore, Home Win should be considered, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Marseille Over 1.5 as OM games average 3.80 goals at Stade Velodrome.
This Coupe de France match will be played on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Marseille vs Toulouse prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Marseille 2 - 1 Toulouse
Marseille vs Toulouse Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Facundo Medina @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Marseille -0.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Toulouse +2 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Marseille to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Marseille to Win/Marseille to Win @ 150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Marseille - No @ -188 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Marseille vs Toulouse?
You can place your bets on Marseille vs Toulouse at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferMarseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldlw | 1.40 |
| Home | lwwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | wldll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 1.46 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.21 | 1.34 |
Toulouse Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldl | 1.20 |
| Home | lwdwd | 1.60 |
| Away | dwlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.84 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 1.16 | 1.01 |
Marseille vs Toulouse Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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