Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips | 03/02/2026

Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction and Betting Tips | 3 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

2 February 2026 • 10:31 UTC • 1 min read

Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction and Betting Tips 3 February 2026

Bayer Leverkusen host St. Pauli in the DFB-Pokal quarter-finals, looking to continue their strong home form after winning three of their last four at the BayArena. Given St. Pauli's poor form, we predict a 2-0 home win. Kasper Hjumland welcomes back key defender Edmond Tapsoba from suspension, which should stabilise a backline that keeps 60% clean sheets at home and concedes just 1.20 goals per match. In attack, Leverkusen average 1.80 goals at home and come into the tie with 2.00 points per home game, underlining their efficiency despite several players – Flekken, Tella, and Ben Seghir – remaining out.

St. Pauli’s recent form is worrying, with a run of LLDDL and only 0.83 points per game away, while scoring just 1.17 goals per away match. Defensive issues persist as they concede 1.50 goals on the road and have failed to win a single match in five previous meetings with Leverkusen (4 losses, 1 draw). Although their BTTS rate away from home sits at 83%, their expected goals numbers (1.10 xG) suggest limited attacking threat against elite Bundesliga opposition. Adding to their woes, Nemeth, Metcalfe, and Houtondji are all out of contention with injuries.

Leverkusen’s quality, depth, and home advantage make them heavy favourites to reach the semi-finals. Given huge quality gap and St. Pauli’s poor away form, our prediction leans toward Home Win, with additional value on Bayer/Bayer and Bayer to Score First.

This DFB Pokal match will be played on Tuesday 3 February 2026 at 19:45.

What is our Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 St Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Betting Tips

Anytime Goalscorer: Patrik Schick @ 110 Odds
First Goalscorer: Patrik Schick @ 400 Odds
To be Booked: Manolis Saliakas @ 240 Odds
Asian Handicap: Bayer Leverkusen -1 @ -134 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds

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You can place your bets on Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli at the following bookmakers:

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Bayer Leverkusen Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llwww	1.60
Home	dwlww	2.00
Away	lwllw	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	60%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	3.00	2.60
Scored	1.50	1.80	1.20
Conceded	1.30	1.20	1.40
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
Clean Sheets	30%	60%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	0%	60%
Expected Goals	1.68	1.75	1.60
Expected Goals Against	1.40	1.23	1.56

St Pauli Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llddl	1.10
Home	wddd	1.50
Away	ddlll	0.83

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	25%	17%
Average Goals Per Game	2.10	1.25	2.67
Scored	1.00	0.75	1.17
Conceded	1.10	0.50	1.50
BTTS	70%	50%	83%
Clean Sheets	30%	50%	17%
Failed to Score	30%	50%	17%
Expected Goals	1.07	1.03	1.10
Expected Goals Against	1.36	1.22	1.45