Bayern Munich head into the DFB Pokal quarter-final in explosive form after a commanding 5-1 Bundesliga win over Hoffenheim, and Vincent Kompany has the luxury of a full squad. Therefore, we predict that the German powerhouse will defeat Leipzig 3-1 in Wednesday's clash. Bayern’s recent numbers underline their strength: they average 4.60 goals per game, scoring at least once in every match, with an impressive 80% win rate across their last five. Their expected goals sits at 2.29, showing chance creation remains consistently elite. Defensively, they concede just 0.90 goals per game, but BTTS still lands in 70% of their fixtures.
Leipzig travel to Bavaria with several injuries—though none to regular starters—and their form remains unstable (L W D L W). They score 2.10 goals per match overall and have produced BTTS in 70% of recent games, but their away defence is fragile, conceding 1.25 goals per outing. H2H strongly favours Bayern, who have won 13 of 24 meetings, with 67% over 2.5 goals and 63% BTTS historically.
As both sides average 3.7+ goals per game, a high-scoring affair is on the cards. Therefore Over 2.5 goals seems like a sure bet, with additional value on Bayern Munich to Win and Harry Kane to Score.
This DFB Pokal match will be played on Wednesday 11 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Bayern Munich vs Leipzig prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bayern Munich 3 - 1 Leipzig
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Harry Kane @ -225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Harry Kane @ 300 Odds
- To be Booked: Kosta Nedeljkovic @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: RB Leipzig +2.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: RB Leipzig +3 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -900 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Bayern Munich to Win @ -1200 Odds
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View OfferBayern Munich Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwdw | 2.50 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | wwwwd | 2.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.60 | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| Scored | 3.70 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.29 | 2.29 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 1.05 | 1.24 |
Leipzig Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdlw | 1.60 |
| Home | wlwll | 1.50 |
| Away | lwdw | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 4.17 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.33 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.77 | 1.94 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.35 | 1.12 |
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bayern Munich (54%)
24 Matches
Leipzig (13%)
