Hamburg will look to build on a 2-1 win over Stuttgart when they face Holstein Kiel in the German Cup last 16. However, our prediction points toward a 1-1 draw due to die Rothosen's negative H2H record. Hamburg's home form offers some encouragement with a 50% win rate at Volksparkstadion and 1.75 goals scored on average in front of their supporters. Their expected goals at home sits at a solid 1.95, showing they generally create enough to trouble visiting sides. While Robert Glatzel is doubtful, he has not been a consistent starter this season, meaning the overall attacking structure should remain intact.
Holstein Kiel, however, arrive as the more balanced and reliable outfit, especially at the back. They have kept clean sheets in 50% of their home matches and concede just 0.50 goals per game in those fixtures. Their overall expected goals (1.46) and away scoring average (0.83 goals per game) suggest they often rely on efficiency rather than volume of chances. Still, the injury to defender John Tolkin could be significant, particularly against a Hamburg side that tends to create high expected goals at home.
H2H numbers also lean slightly toward Kiel, who have avoided defeat in 11 of their last 12 meetings and seen BTTS in 67% of those matchups. Therefore BTTS, Kiel or Away Win, and Half-Time Draw bets seem appealing.
This DFB Pokal match will be played on Wednesday 3 December 2025 at 19:45.
What is our Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hamburg 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Robert Glatzel @ 110 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel?
You can place your bets on Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferHamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldlw | 1.40 |
| Home | wwldw | 2.00 |
| Away | dlwll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.73 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
Holstein Kiel Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Home | wddwl | 1.60 |
| Away | ldwll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.57 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.32 | 1.85 |
Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hamburg (8%)
12 Matches
Holstein Kiel (42%)
Getafe
Valencia
Wolves
Newcastle
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Aston Villa
Everton
Torino
AS Roma
Milan
Lecce
