Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tips | 04/02/2026

Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart Prediction and Betting Tips | 4 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

2 February 2026 • 10:43 UTC • 1 min read

Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart Prediction and Betting Tips 4 February 2026

Holstein Kiel aim to produce a cup upset as they welcome Bundesliga high-flyers Stuttgart in the DFB-Pokal quarter-finals. As Kiel are low on spirits following a 2-1 loss to Greuther Furth, we predict a 2-1 away win. The 2. Bundesliga side have been strong at home recently, taking 1.80 points per home match and winning three of their last five at the Holstein-Stadion. However, defensive issues remain: Kiel concede 1.50 goals per game overall and their xGA sits at a worrying 1.84, suggesting they struggle to limit opposition chances. They also enter the tie with several absentees, including Johansson, Erras, and Bernhardsson.

Stuttgart, meanwhile, travel north in excellent form, winning three straight matches across all competitions and averaging 2.25 points per away match. Their attacking numbers stand out: Stuttgart score 2.75 goals per away game, supported by an impressive 1.98 expected goals on the road. Defensively, they allow just 0.75 goals away, keeping 50% clean sheets. Despite injuries to Zagadou, Jovanovic, and Tomas, die Schwaben remain deep and well-balanced.

Considering Stuttgart's better form, higher quality, and strong away stats (2.25 PPG), our prediction leans toward Away Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals (80% H2H) and Sttutgart Over 1.5.

This DFB Pokal match will be played on Wednesday 4 February 2026 at 19:45.

What is our Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Holstein Kiel 1 - 2 Stuttgart

Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart Betting Tips

Anytime Goalscorer: Deniz Undav @ 100 Odds
First Goalscorer: Deniz Undav @ 400 Odds
To be Booked: David Zec @ 130 Odds
Asian Handicap: Holstein Kiel +1.5 @ -167 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds

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Holstein Kiel Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwwdl	1.30
Home	wlwwl	1.80
Away	ldddd	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	60%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	2.00	3.80
Scored	1.40	1.20	1.60
Conceded	1.50	0.80	2.20
BTTS	70%	40%	100%
Clean Sheets	20%	40%	0%
Failed to Score	10%	20%	0%
Expected Goals	1.16	1.16	1.16
Expected Goals Against	1.84	1.51	2.16

Stuttgart Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dlwww	2.30
Home	wwdww	2.33
Away	wwlw	2.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	67%	75%
Average Goals Per Game	3.20	3.00	3.50
Scored	2.20	1.83	2.75
Conceded	1.00	1.17	0.75
BTTS	50%	67%	25%
Clean Sheets	40%	33%	50%
Failed to Score	20%	17%	25%
Expected Goals	1.93	1.90	1.98
Expected Goals Against	1.22	1.16	1.33