A place in the EFL Cup last 16 will be at stake when Chelsea take on Leeds United at their Stamford Bridge. The Blues will be looking to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to Arsenal, a game which once again highlighted their attacking quality but defensive struggles. Malo Gusto, fit-again Estevao, and summer signings Valentin Barco and Danny Welbeck are all pushing for starts. Chelsea have won an impressive 83% of their last ten home matches, scoring 2.33 goals per game.
Leeds, meanwhile, arrive after a 1-1 draw with Brighton and will be confident following their EFL Cup elimination of Nottingham Forest. Bijol, Aaronson and Wilson could enter the XI, while Rodon and Gruev remain injured. The Whites have lost just once in their last ten matches and boast a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.80 goals per game. However, Chelsea have won seven of the last 11 H2H meetings, with eight producing over 2.5 goals.
Given Chelsea's outstanding home record and attacking potential, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Chelsea Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (73% of the last 11 H2Hs cleared this line).
This EFL Cup match will be played on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Chelsea 3 - 1 Leeds United
Chelsea vs Leeds United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Danny Welbeck @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Danny Welbeck @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Harry Wilson @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Chelsea -0.5 @ -112 Odds
- European Handicap: Chelsea +1 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Chelsea to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Chelsea to Win/Chelsea to Win @ 187 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Chelsea - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferChelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwdwwwwl | 1.90 |
| Home | wlwwww | 2.50 |
| Away | ldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.33 | 4.25 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.12 | 1.85 |
Leeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwdwwwdd | 2.10 |
| Home | wwd | 2.33 |
| Away | lwwdwwd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.67 | 2.43 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.33 | 1.43 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.18 | 1.51 |
Chelsea vs Leeds United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Chelsea (64%)
11 Matches
Leeds United (18%)
Chelsea vs Leeds United Past Results
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