Jagiellonia Białystok face a tough test in the UEFA Europa Conference League after losing key duo Pululu and Romanczuk to suspension, while forward Oskar Pietuszewski has departed for Porto. Therefore, we predict a 2-1 Fiorentina win. Jagiellonia's home form has been encouraging, with 2.00 points per game, 2.00 average goals scored, and BTTS landing in 67% of home fixtures. Defensively, Jaga remain solid, conceding just 1.00 goal per match at home and keeping 33% clean sheets, with an expected goals of 1.87 showing they create quality chances.
Fiorentina have some injury concerns as well: Rugani, Lamptey, and Gudmundsson, though squad depth provides cover. Their away record is slightly better than home, with 1.40 points per game, averaging 1.40 goals scored and conceding 1.40, while BTTS hits 80% across fixtures. Fiorentina’s expected goals of 1.37 away suggests they can break down Jagiellonia’s defence if clinical in the final third.
Given the number of absentees in the home team, Away Win is our main betting pick for this Conference League matchup, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (average goals per match high: 2.00 for Jagiellonia, 2.80 for Fiorentina).
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jesus Imaz @ 160 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jesus Imaz @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Fiorentina 0 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Fiorentina +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Fiorentina to Win @ -150 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Fiorentina to Win/Fiorentina to Win @ 275 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Fiorentina - No @ -300 Odds
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