Noah aim to claim a major scalp in the Conference League 1/16 finals, but we predict a 2-1 AZ Alkmaar win as the hosts have yet to restart their domestic campaign. Armernians head into this European tie with only one confirmed absentee, as forward Gonçalo Gregorio remains sidelined. Their overall form has been inconsistent, taking 1.00 point per game, while their home record is even weaker at 0.80 PPG. Defensive issues at home are notable: Noah concede 2.00 goals per match and have 0% clean sheets in home games. On the positive side, they score 1.60 goals per home match, and their home fixtures tend to be open, with 100% BTTS and a high 3.60 average goals per game.
AZ Alkmaar travel to Armenia after a narrow 1-0 win over Excelsior, though they will be without suspended midfielder Mateo Chavez Garcia. AZ’s away form has been mixed at 1.00 PPG, largely due to defensive instability—conceding 2.33 goals per away match. However, the Cheese Farmers remain consistently dangerous going forward, scoring 1.67 goals per away game, supported by a strong away expected goals of 1.68. With several key players fit, they should still carry more quality in the final third.
Given Noah’s leaky home defence and AZ’s superior squad depth, the visitors enter as favourites. Therefore, Away Win is our main betting tip for this Conference League matchup, alongside AZ Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total as Noah home matches average 3.60 goals.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Noah vs AZ prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Noah 1 - 2 AZ
Noah vs AZ Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Troy Parrott @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Troy Parrott @ 375 Odds
- Asian Handicap: AZ -0.5 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Noah +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: AZ to Win @ -300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: AZ to Win/AZ to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: AZ - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Noah vs AZ?
You can place your bets on Noah vs AZ at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferNoah Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlwl | 1.00 |
| Home | lldlw | 0.80 |
| Away | dwddl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.29 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 1.24 | 1.00 |
AZ Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwd | 1.50 |
| Home | wdlwd | 1.71 |
| Away | llw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 43% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.57 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.71 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.86 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 57% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 43% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.76 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.38 |
Noah vs AZ Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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