Aston Villa will try to defend their two-goal lead as they host Bologna in the return leg after a 3-1 victory in Italy. As Villa have turned their Villa Park into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. Unai Emery’s side have no fresh injury concerns and will look to capitalize on their home advantage. Villa’s recent form has been mixed , averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded, with BTTS landing in 60% of their matches. At home, they’ve been steady rather than dominant, but their ability to score consistently gives them a solid platform.
Bologna, however, are in strong form and boast an excellent away record, winning all of their last four on the road with 2.00 goals scored per game. The return of Lewis Ferguson is a big boost, and with 1.90 points per game overall, the Italian side have the quality to push Villa. Defensively, the Rossoblu concede just 1.20 on average and have kept clean sheets in 40% of their recent matches.
Given Villa's first-leg advantage and superior squad quality, Home Win should be considered, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (Bologna must attack, which should open the game).
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Aston Villa vs Bologna prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Aston Villa 2 - 1 Bologna
Aston Villa vs Bologna Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Jonathan Rowe @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bologna +1.5 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Bologna +2 @ -188 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -500 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Aston Villa to Win @ -550 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Aston Villa to Win/Aston Villa to Win @ 125 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Aston Villa - No @ -163 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Aston Villa vs Bologna?
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View OfferAston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwlwwlwd | 1.40 |
| Home | dlwwl | 1.40 |
| Away | lwlwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.43 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.38 |
Bologna Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwldwwlwlw | 1.90 |
| Home | wldllw | 1.17 |
| Away | wwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.65 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.13 | 0.98 | 1.35 |
Aston Villa vs Bologna Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Aston Villa (100%)
3 Matches
Bologna (0%)
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