Aston Villa will try to overcome a one-goal deficit when they host Nottingham Forest in the Europa League semi-final second leg at Villa Park. Given Villa's fine record at the venue, we predict a 2-1 home win.Unai Emery rotated heavily in the 2-1 weekend loss to Tottenham, clearly prioritizing the Forest game, though Amadou Onana remains unavailable. Villa’s home form offers encouragement, with a 67% win rate and 2.33 goals scored per game, while their matches at Villa Park average a lively 3.50 total goals.
Nottingham Forest travel to Birmingham with momentum after winning the first leg 1-0 and boasting strong recent form (2.10 points per game). The Reds have been particularly effective away from home, winning 75% of their last matches on the road and averaging an impressive 2.75 goals scored while conceding just 0.50 overall. However, doubts over Cunha, Murillo, and Dan Ndoye could weaken both their attacking fluidity and defensive stability.
Given Villa's solid home record, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Villa Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (high-scoring patterns at Villa Park).
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Aston Villa 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 700 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Nicolas Dominguez @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Aston Villa -0.5 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Nottm Forest +2 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Aston Villa to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Aston Villa to Win/Aston Villa to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Aston Villa - No @ -188 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
You can place your bets on Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwdwwlll | 1.60 |
| Home | wwlwwl | 2.00 |
| Away | wdll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.36 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.18 | 1.58 |
Nottingham Forest Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwddwwww | 2.10 |
| Home | lddwww | 1.83 |
| Away | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.67 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.17 | 2.75 |
| Conceded | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.64 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 0.99 | 1.63 |
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Aston Villa (47%)
15 Matches
Nottingham Forest (27%)
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Wolfsburg
Paderborn
Bayern Munich
Stuttgart
Valencia
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
Tottenham
Everton
Man City
