Aston Villa host Salzburg in the final round of the league phase with Unai Emery’s men aiming to secure top position, while the visitors hold only slim hopes of reaching the Europa League playoffs. Anyhow, we predict 3-1 home win as Salzburg struggle on the travels. The Villans have no fresh injury concerns, though Emery is expected to rotate, which may slightly affect their usual rhythm. Even with changes, Villa’s numbers remain strong: they average 2.20 points per game overall and score 1.60 goals per match, backed by an xG of 1.49. At home they win 67% of matches and have BTTS in 67%, suggesting entertainment.
Salzburg travel to England with Kawamura and Mellberg missing, but form remains inconsistent. Their away record is poor, taking just 1.00 PPG and winning only 20% of trips. Defensive issues are clear, with 2.15 xGA away, one of their biggest weaknesses. The Red Bulls concede 1.40 goals per game, yet still pose a threat going forward with 1.00 scored away and BTTS landing in 60% of all fixtures.
Villa’s superior squad depth and home advantage make them favourites, but Salzburg’s pace in transition could create chances. As both teams average over 2.7 total goals, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Over 3.5 goals and Aston Villa to Win due to the huge gap in quality.
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 29 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Aston Villa vs Salzburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Aston Villa 3 - 1 Salzburg
Aston Villa vs Salzburg Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ -120 Odds
- To be Booked: Lucas Gourna-Douath @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Aston Villa -1 @ -191 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlww | 2.20 |
| Home | wwl | 2.00 |
| Away | ldwww | 2.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 67% | 71% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.67 | 2.71 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 43% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.54 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.32 | 1.61 |
Salzburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlw | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwlw | 1.80 |
| Away | dldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.78 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.39 | 2.15 |
Aston Villa vs Salzburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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