Basel enter the final round of the league phase needing a must-win result, sitting two points outside the playoff positions, but injuries to Metinho, Tsunemoto and Broschinski complicate matters. Anyhow, we predict a 2-1 home win as Plzen have little to play for. The Rotblau's form has been mixed, collecting 1.30 points per game overall, but their home record is a concern: Basel have failed to win any of their last home matches, averaging just 0.67 PPG and scoring only 0.67 goals per game at St. Jakob-Park. However, they still generate chances, with 1.71 expected goals at home, and BTTS has landed in 67% of those fixtures.
Plzen, already qualified for the Europa League knockout stages, travel without suspended forward Matej Vydra. Their motivation may dip slightly, but they remain competitive, averaging 1.40 PPG overall. Away from home, they take 1.25 PPG, score 1.25 goals per match, and concede 1.75, with 3.00 total goals per game in their away outings. Defensively they can struggle on the road, reflected in 1.37 xGA.
With Basel desperate and Plzen rotating, the match could open up, especially given both sides’ frequent high-goal matches. Therefore, our prediction points toward Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Basel Over 1.5.
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 29 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Basel vs Plzen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Basel 2 - 1 Plzen
Basel vs Plzen Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferBasel Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddlw | 1.30 |
| Home | llddd | 0.67 |
| Away | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 1.83 | 4.25 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 0.67 | 2.25 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 1.71 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.69 | 1.24 | 2.25 |
Plzen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwd | 1.40 |
| Home | ldwwd | 1.50 |
| Away | wdld | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.82 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.57 | 1.37 |
Basel vs Plzen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
