Estadio da Luz will be packed when Benfica and Aarhus go head-to-head in the first leg of their Europa League playoff tie. Benfica are among the main favourites to lift the trophy and booked their place in the playoffs with an emphatic 7-2 aggregate victory over Hearts. Marco Silva is expected to field his strongest possible XI after rotating his squad in the 1-1 draw with Hearts, with key striker Vangelis Pavlidis widely expected to lead the line. The Eagles have been particularly impressive at home, averaging 3.50 goals per game across their last 10 matches there and scoring in every one.
Aarhus, meanwhile, will be desperate to respond after suffering a heavy 4-0 defeat to Sabah Baku in their Champions League qualifying campaign. The Danish side have still won five of their last 10 matches, but their defensive record is a concern, conceding 1.70 goals per game during that period. Their away fixtures have produced an average of 3.60 goals, while 60% have seen both teams score. Gyamfi, Poulsen, and Tingager remain in the treatment room, making an already difficult trip even tougher.
Benfica have a huge quality advantage and home form strongly favours them. Therefore, Home Win should be considered, alongside Benfica Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (both sides have been involved in high-scoring matches, with Aarhus’ away games averaging 3.60 goals).
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Benfica vs Aarhus prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Benfica 3 - 1 Aarhus
Benfica vs Aarhus Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ -225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 240 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Benfica -1.5 @ -250 Odds
- European Handicap: Benfica -1 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Benfica to Win @ -3300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Benfica to Win/Benfica to Win @ -200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Benfica - No @ 100 Odds
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