Benfica will be aiming to continue their impressive European campaign when they welcome Hearts to Estadio da Luz for the first leg of their Europa League third qualifying round tie. Given the huge gap in quality and experience between the two teams, we predict a 4-1 home win. The Eagles produced a commanding display in the previous round, crushing St. Gallen 6-2 on aggregate while sticking to their trademark attacking football. Vangelis Pavlidis was the star of the show, scoring four goals in the 5-0 second-leg triumph, and the Greek striker will once again spearhead Benfica's attack. Summer signing Jhon Duran is also expected to feature, adding even more firepower to a side that has averaged 2.4 goals per game over their last ten outings.
Hearts, meanwhile, continue adapting to life without star striker Lawrence Shankland following his summer move to Rangers. The Scottish outfit endured a miserable Champions League campaign, suffering a heavy 6-0 aggregate defeat to Sturm Graz, and they now face another daunting European challenge. Injuries to Ageu, Craig Halkett, Stephen Kingsley, and Fredrik Borchgrevink further weaken the visitors, who have struggled defensively on the road, conceding an average of 1.86 goals per away match in their last seven outings. With Benfica boasting excellent home form and far greater quality across the pitch, anything but a convincing home victory would come as a major surprise.
As Benfica look superior in every department, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Benfica -1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (the Eagles have been prolific in attack, while Hearts arrive depleted and short of confidence).
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Benfica vs Hearts prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Benfica 4 - 1 Hearts
Benfica vs Hearts Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 4-1 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Over 4.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ -275 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 225 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Benfica -2.5 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Benfica -2 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 9.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 12.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -3300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Benfica to Win @ -3300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Benfica to Win/Benfica to Win @ -250 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Benfica - No @ 100 Odds
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View OfferBenfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwddwwlw | 2.10 |
| Home | wwdww | 2.60 |
| Away | dwdwl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.95 | 2.26 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 0.81 | 1.60 |
Hearts Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlwwlwll | 1.50 |
| Home | wwl | 2.00 |
| Away | lwlwlwl | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.67 | 3.14 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.86 |
| BTTS | 60% | 33% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 1.51 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.14 | 1.53 |
Benfica vs Hearts Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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