Celta Vigo are high on confidence after a 2–0 league win over Mallorca and a solid 1.80 PPG across recent matches. As Os Celestes have turned their "Balaidos" into a real fortress, we predict that they will defeat PAOK 2-1 in the Europa League playoffs, return leg. Celta' home form looks strong, averaging 2.25 PPG and scoring 2.00 goals per home game, backed by an xG of 1.55. Defensively, the Galicians allow only 0.75 goals per home match, giving them stability as they protect a one-goal advantage. The return of key forward Borja Iglesias boosts their attacking threat significantly. Pablo Duran is expected to miss out with injury, but fellow forward Borja Iglesias returns to the starting XI.
PAOK also hold a respectable 1.80 PPG recently, with a strong defensive record: 60% clean sheets overall and only 0.80 goals conceded per match. Their away form, however, dips to 1.25 PPG, and scoring just 1.00 goal per away game may be an issue when chasing the tie. The returns of Giannis Konstantelias and Georgios Giakoumakis improve attacking options, but the suspension of star man Andrija Zivkovic is a major blow.
As Celta Vigo are strong at home (75% wins) and have better xG profile, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, with additional value on Both Teams to Score and Celta Over 1.5 goals.
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Celta Vigo vs PAOK prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Celta Vigo 2 - 1 PAOK
Celta Vigo vs PAOK Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Borja Iglesias @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Borja Iglesias @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Konstantinos Thymianis @ 150 Odds
- European Handicap: Celta Vigo +1 @ -600 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Celta Vigo to Win @ -450 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Celta Vigo to Win/Celta Vigo to Win @ 140 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Celta Vigo - No @ -163 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Celta Vigo vs PAOK?
You can place your bets on Celta Vigo vs PAOK at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferCelta Vigo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlddldww | 1.80 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | wldddw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.55 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 1.28 | 1.05 |
PAOK Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwdwdld | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwwdl | 2.17 |
| Away | lwdd | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.99 | 1.25 |
Celta Vigo vs PAOK Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Celta Vigo (100%)
2 Matches
PAOK (0%)
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