A place in the Europa League third qualifying round will be on the line when CSKA Sofia and Qarabag face each other in the return leg of their evenly-poised tie. The first meeting in Azerbaijan failed to live up to expectations, ending in a goalless draw with very few clear-cut opportunities at either end. CSKA defended with great discipline on the road and will now look to make home advantage count. The Bulgarians have been difficult to beat lately, collecting 1.60 points per game from their last ten matches in all competitions, while conceding only 0.80 goals per match. Boss Yane Hristov has no fresh injury concerns ahead of the decisive clash.
Qarabag, meanwhile, will feel they can produce a much better display after a below-par showing in the first leg. The Azerbaijani champions managed to create only a handful of chances and are expected to freshen up the starting XI, with both Cephas and Elvin Cafarquliyev pushing for recalls. Qarabag have enjoyed the stronger overall form, averaging 2.00 points per game from their last ten outings and scoring an impressive 2.30 goals per match. Their away fixtures have been particularly entertaining, averaging four goals per game, while they have found the net in every away match during that spell.
As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach in the decider, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 19:00.
What is our CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag prediction?
Our prediction for this match: CSKA Sofia 1 - 1 Qarabag
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Asian Handicap: FK Qarabag +0.5 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: FK Qarabag +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: CSKA Sofia - No @ -275 Odds
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View OfferCSKA Sofia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdldlwwdd | 1.60 |
| Home | wdw | 2.33 |
| Away | wldlwdd | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.67 | 1.29 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.67 | 0.57 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| BTTS | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Expected Goals | 1.77 | 1.82 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 1.17 | 1.23 |
Qarabag Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwdwwwwd | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Away | lwldww | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.25 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.93 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.16 | 1.26 |
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
CSKA Sofia (0%)
1 Matches
Qarabag (0%)
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Past Results
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