All eyes will be on Poljud when Hajduk Split and Pafos go head-to-head in the first leg of the Europa League second qualifying round. As Hajduk have turned their stadium into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Croatian side booked their place in this stage by eliminating Zilina, recording a convincing 2-0 home victory before suffering a narrow 2-1 defeat away from home in the return leg. Hajduk have been particularly impressive in Split, winning four of their last five home matches while averaging 2.4 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per game. With no fresh injury concerns, the hosts are expected to field their strongest possible lineup as they look to build a first-leg advantage in front of their passionate supporters.
Pafos, meanwhile, travel to Croatia after ending their preseason with a thrilling 3-2 defeat to Slovan Bratislava. The Cypriot outfit will be boosted by the return of Bosnia international Ivan Sunjic, who rejoins the squad after representing his country at the 2026 World Cup. Pafos have been inconsistent in recent weeks, winning only four of their last ten matches, although they have continued to pose a threat going forward by averaging 1.7 goals per game. Their away fixtures have been particularly entertaining, with both teams scoring in 80% of their last five road matches, suggesting they are capable of troubling Hajduk's defence.
Hajduk have been excellent at Poljud and should make home advantage count. Therefore, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win. Additionally, BTTS and Over 2.5 goals markets seem appealing (both teams possess attacking quality, and recent matches suggest another entertaining contest is on the cards).
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Hajduk Split vs Pafos prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hajduk Split 2 - 1 Pafos
Hajduk Split vs Pafos Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 115 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Hajduk Split 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Hajduk Split +1 @ -450 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Hajduk Split to Win @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Hajduk Split to Win/Hajduk Split to Win @ 240 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Hajduk Split - No @ -200 Odds
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View OfferHajduk Split Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdldwldwwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | ddldl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.67 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 0.91 | 1.62 |
Pafos Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwdllwdww | 1.60 |
| Home | dwlww | 2.00 |
| Away | ddldw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.50 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.57 | 1.09 |
Hajduk Split vs Pafos Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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