Lyon aim to seal the top spot in the Europa League group stage as they host PAOK in the final round. As Lyon are a real force to be reckoned with at home, we predict a 3-1 home win. January signing Endrick is ineligible for les Gones, and Fofana, Tagliafico, and Ghezzal remain sidelined, but the French side is in red-hot form, winning all five of their last matches. At home, Lyon have a 100% win rate, scoring 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.4, and keeping clean sheets in 60% of matches. Their expected goals at home stand at 2.33, highlighting their attacking efficiency.
PAOK travel to France with Luka Ivanusec as their only absentee, fighting for a top-eight finish. The Greek side have a solid record away, winning 50% of matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game, and conceding 1.25. They have kept clean sheets in 50% of fixtures and their xG of 1.66 suggests they can create chances, though Lyon’s defensive solidity may limit their impact.
Given Lyon's dominant home form and given their almost perfect Europa League record, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Lyon Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals total (both teams average above 2 goals per game).
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 29 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Lyon vs PAOK prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lyon 3 - 1 PAOK
Lyon vs PAOK Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
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View OfferLyon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwww | 2.70 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.89 | 2.33 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.01 | 0.85 | 1.18 |
PAOK Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwww | 2.30 |
| Home | wwdww | 2.67 |
| Away | dlww | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.89 | 2.05 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.95 | 0.81 | 1.15 |
Lyon vs PAOK Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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