AEK Larnaca and Crystal Palace face each other in the Conference League last 16, return leg, after a goalless draw in the first meeting. As the Eagles struggle offensively on the travels, we predict a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture. The Cyprios side have shown mixed form recently (lldwd), but they remain solid at home with a 60% win rate, scoring 2.20 goals per home match while conceding just 0.60. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.69 at home suggests they are creating quality chances. Defender Miramon is doubtful after a knock in the first leg, but the squad has the depth to cope.
Crystal Palace arrive with confidence, unbeaten in their last five matches (wlwdd), though their away form is inconsistent. The Eagles average 1.40 goals per away match, with BTTS in 80% of those games, and striker Jean-Philippe Mateta is pushing for a start after coming off the bench in their recent 0-0 draw with Leeds United. Palace’s expected goals away is 1.23, indicating they can create opportunities despite a tight first-leg scoreline.
As both sides are showing defensive discipline, a low-scoring affair is on the cards with Under 2.5 goals our main betting tip. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and Draw bets should be considered.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 17:45.
What is our AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AEK Larnaca 1 - 1 Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 650 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jean-Philippe Mateta @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jean-Philippe Mateta @ 300 Odds
- To be Booked: Jefferson Lerma @ 240 Odds
- Asian Handicap: AEK Larnaca +1.5 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: AEK Larnaca +2 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -800 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Crystal Palace - No @ -125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace?
You can place your bets on AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAEK Larnaca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwwlldwd | 1.70 |
| Home | wwldw | 2.00 |
| Away | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.02 | 1.53 |
Crystal Palace Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldwwlwdd | 1.60 |
| Home | lwwdd | 1.60 |
| Away | dwdlw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.55 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.06 | 0.86 | 1.26 |
AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AEK Larnaca (50%)
2 Matches
Crystal Palace (0%)
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