Midtjylland and Genk face each other at MCH Arena, with 1-1 draw being our predicted outcome. The Danes enter this clash with an impressive attacking record at home, producing 3.80 goals per match and collecting a strong 2.60 PPG in front of their supporters. Their underlying numbers also shine, with 2.18 xG and just 0.69 xGA at MCH Arena, highlighting their dominance on home soil. However, they face a huge setback: top scorer Franculino, who has netted 16 goals in 17 Superliga games, is sidelined, along with Castillo, Ejeheri, Gabriel, and Chilufya. Losing such firepower could significantly impact their attacking rhythm.
The Belgians arrive with similar scoring output away from home, averaging 3.25 total goals per away game and maintaining a balanced 1.75 PPG. Their 1.44 xG and 50% away win rate show they’re competitive travellers, and crucially, they have no fresh injury concerns. However, they have struggled for consistency, losing three of their last five overall.
As Midtjylland key striker misses out with injury, our predictions leans toward Under 2.5 goals. BTTS market, though, has to be considered as well due to aforementioned statistical data.
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 11 December 2025 at 17:45.
What is our Midtjylland vs Genk prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Midtjylland 1 - 1 Genk
Midtjylland vs Genk Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Franculino Dju @ -111 Odds
- To be booked: Yaimar Medina @ 160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMidtjylland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwd | 2.00 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Away | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.88 | 2.18 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.06 | 0.69 | 1.43 |
Genk Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwll | 1.70 |
| Home | wlwwl | 1.67 |
| Away | wwdl | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.67 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.81 | 2.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.23 | 1.68 |
Midtjylland vs Genk Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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